Forex and currency movements

Seasonal Forex is the term used for some of the tendencies that currency movements may appear in certain directions during certain times of the year. Are there any seasonal patterns influenced the Forex markets? For example, if the US dollar showed statistical tendencies to increase in value during the month of March over a sample of the past, then we can say that he has a seasonal tendencies. Many studies have been conducted on the seasonal Forex, though, who you may wonder whether it is worth it. In this article, we will look at what was said there was no seasonal behavior of currencies emerged from the study of data from 36 years ago, and explain what the reason may be reasonable for any of these trends. I will conclude the interpretation weakness in such studies, and wondering whether it is possible to rely on these results do not hope, and if it is, how it can be exploited in the manner optimized by Forex traders Ktoukat seasonality in order to achieve profits.

Forex seasonal tendencies

If we look at a large sample of data, you may be able to identify some of the seasonal behavior of currencies. The larger scale of the data available to me was by looking at the US dollar index and other major currencies against the US dollar during the period of more than 35 years. Many of the seasonal tendencies can Thdidaha clearly.

US Dollar Index tends to strong performance in January, and down significantly in the last quarter of the year, in fact the beginning of September.

Acting in both the euro and the British pound and the Swiss franc in a manner almost identical, and opposite to the US dollar index: where the weak performance during the month of January and Ervaton of September until the end of the calendar year.

Japanese yen rises from August to October. And it tends to be weakest performance during the month of January and the best is through September.

The Canadian dollar more random, where his performance is weakest during the months of July and November, and stronger during June.

Interpretation of seasonal trends in Forex

Which clearly emerges from this assessment is the end of the year that could be used in the seasonal effect of expectations: the US dollar falls with the approaching end of the year, and then kicks off in January with the beginning of the new year, and the other currencies as opposed to this move. Is there a rational explanation for this seasonal behavior? Yes, as the end of the year it provides a "Aapth tendencies" in addition to being the deadline for taxes and reporting. The money managers and investment funds usually report on their performance during the calendar year, which means that the losers will try hard to win, and winners will be strongly trying not to lose more money with the approaching end of the year. It is possible for this to increase fuel strong patterns, and there's an old saying among traders say that December is either too poor or too great to achieve profits in the market.

You should not ignore the subject of taxes, since taxes on profits and losses to accumulate in the United States and many other countries, the end of the year. As many of the systems allows losses erased losses against the profits of the previous year, there may be the most important reason for those with positions that they lost to liquidate these positions before the end of December, and then reacquired in January, although the transaction costs. Among the currencies under review, the only commodity-linked currency is the Canadian dollar, which is linked to very positively with the price of crude oil. But the industrial use of crude oil far beyond any personal use, and therefore can not be expected that the winter has been no impact seasons, and in fact has no effect. I do not see any evidence based on this study of the seasonal behavior of currencies.

Curriculum weakness

By enthusiasm about the potential advantages for seasonal effects that we Ptodahaa In this study, we were wondering whether this information is convincing enough to use in our expectations of seasonal and confident. There are two areas in particular, be aware of:

1. Measured currencies, except the US dollar index, measured only against the US dollar, and is not burdened with a basket of currencies versus a range of currencies.

2. Although we look at the more than 35 years of data, is still unknown whether this data is sufficient to give a true representation and meaningful. The majority of the financial statistics say that there is a need for at least 200 samples, and we do not have to 35.

To take advantage of seasonal

Should not be seasonal is the basis of any strategy deliberative and I will never be any seasonal expectations. But there is evidence that the end of the calendar year has a tendency to produce directionality movement, while the summer months tend toward the absence of this movement. Style traders can take advantage of seasonal by putting more weight on the trading pattern, which lies with the approaching end of the year, and vice versa, the volume setting in less Altdullac carried out during the summer. Can do this without the questionable guardian expectations about exchange rate 

Is this the right time for trading gold?

during any other month since August 2013, and that was two months ago and a half. It seems that th
volatility returned to the market and fluctuations mean that traders have a chance to make a profit.

Most forex brokers offer the possibility of trading with gold or even monthly gold futures, which are the same quality in terms of speculating on gold. This means that regardless of the broker that you use, the option trading gold may be present if you want to do.

It seems that life is returning to the gold market, and to see if the time is appropriate for trading gold.

Modern record for gold

Gold gives a special treat for many people when they are buying. If this applies to you, if you think gold is less enthusiasm. Just think about the price fluctuations and not the metal itself, and try to imagine that buys and sells something unusual, such as aluminum. Unfortunately, a lot of traders are losing their thinking on gold and are trading emotionally.

As the US dollar abandoned the gold standard in 1976, the year the gold freely against the US dollar. Gold has made two types Tsaeidin excellent against the US dollar since then: the first was the late seventies and the second from 2002 to 2011, when it rose from $ 275 an ounce to more than $ 1,900. Many economists believe that the functions of gold as a store of value alternative to paper currencies like the US dollar, which is built entirely of gold and bound to rise during periods of declining currencies, as happens now approx. In that case, the time might be appropriate for trading gold.

I always think that traders can achieve the money markets easily by following patterns and use the points stopped relatively narrow losses. In Forex, the way they have been successful well in the past when trading currency pairs, which contained the US dollar is trading in the direction of the price during periods of 3 months and 6 months when they are not in conflict. Although the gold against the US dollar is often considered another currency pair, but it tends to move quickly and the biggest strength of the Forex currency pairs. We can see by looking at the retrospective test, which was performed using data from 1998 to 2014 in the test, the gold results bought or sold on a weekly bases and stand up to a week depending on whether the price was at the weekly opening was higher or lower than it was before 6 months or three months or even one month. The results appear in the table

Make money by trading binary options

Seems a matter of making money in the field of "binary options" as if it was difficult, but everything you need in a matter of fact is that the improved play Boorack. Many people make the mistake of dealing with trading like a gamble, and this does not help them to make a profit in this area. Must be well aware that making money in this area requires that you make thorough research; By the same token, multi-trading companies offer educational programs contribute to the development and refinement of the investor skills to make him an expert.

Long-term trading positions (buying)

, Long-term trading requires a bit of experience less than short-term trading needs because it allows you, depending on certain events already know that they will occur; For example, in each time the giant company like Samsung or Apple introduced a new product, their stock prices soar. These companies usually announce the date of the product launch; and then, can this date marked on the calendar, and that is before his arrival by one day or two days to establish the purchase of the shares of this company's time frame two or three option.

Short-term trading transactions (sale)

As we mentioned earlier, the short-term trading transactions fit the most experienced traders, and the reason for this is that the risk may be higher, and the lack of a clear strategy may make you lose your money. You can not be used for news events with short-term trading deals in deciding on investment because time passes quickly and it becomes to predict the outcome in this case very difficult. You may discover that the circulation patterns in the early stages of their appearance and predict what might happen after that. If you want to achieve big profits in the field of binary options, then it must be traded long-term and short-term both trades. But should the rolling is trading expert to long-term deals only in order to avoid the loss of his money.

Of the common misconceptions that it must be binary options trader and broad experience. Of course expert trader can easily achieve a profit because he mastered all the strategies necessary to do so, but that does not expel rolling is an expert of the scene, where this kind can easily be trading traders and achieve profits rivaling experts profits in the long term. If you are an investor is planning to create a trade, it should be sufficient that the research that you feel confident in your choice with him. Not for trading "binary options" There is nothing to bet, but that is how he sees rolling is conscious that the betting.

The presence of good strategies of the important factors to become a good trader. Many advise you of the need to diversify trade, in the sense to put your money in a different number of assets at the same time; this way you can possess many options depend on different positions. Other strategies recommended by many when trading binary options have to be "early exit deals." If invested in a particular trade deal and everything goes just fine, according to I expected, you can withdraw your money before the end of trading deal expires, and in this way to avoid the risk that there will something and change the results.